Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
To change the economic processes and stabilize the socio-political situation, the authorities need an effective set of tools and methods of socio-economic management. They require new and better means of strategic planning that provide a controlled development of the national economy. This research features advanced forms and methods of econometric modeling in the regional socio-economic system. The research relied on the strategizing methodology developed by Professor V.L. Kvint, as well as the Strategist’s Office software that makes it possible to construct mathematical models of economic processes for a particular region. The predictive analytical model covered ten basic economic processes. This article introduces some factors and indicators defined for the transport infrastructure based on the index approach. The experimental part focused on the case of the North-Western and Volga Federal Districts. The set of tasks for regional development strategizing ranges from the theoretical and methodological provisions to the development of a digital twin of a regional economic system designed with the help of tools that provide information support for analysis, assessment, and forecasting. Regional strategizing is considered as a model of a regional socio-economic system defined as a structure that includes a number of autonomous subsystems with certain objective and measurable indicators.

strategy methodology, advanced development, regional economy, control system, socio-economic system, digital technologies, econometric modeling
Publication text (PDF): Read Download

1. Aganbegyan AG. Analysis and forecasting of socio-economic development of regions (methodical notes). Central Russian Journal of Social Sciences. 2019;14(4):15–28. (In Russ.)

2. Batovrin VK. Tolkovyy slovarʹ po sistemnoy i programmnoy inzhenerii [Explanatory dictionary of system and software engineering]. Moscow: DMK Press; 2012. 280 p. (In Russ.)

3. Golovko ER. Tools for the analysis of complex economic systems. International Research Journal. 2020;97(7–3):146–149. (In Russ.)

4. Jdanov SA, Petrov AM, Konovalenko NP. The peculiarities of complex socio-economic systems management: Foreign experience. Discussion. 2013;40(10):72–76. (In Russ.)

5. Zhukovskaya LV. Public administration of the difficult socio-economic systems on the different levels of hierarchy of in conditions of uncertainty. Proceedings of the Institute for Systems Analysis Russian Academy of Sciences. 2018;68(4):17–25. (In Russ.)

6. Zhuravlev DM. Methods of analysis and imitation of management decisions. Surskiy vestnik. 2019;7(3):73–77. (In Russ.)

7. Zhuravlev DM. Teoreticheskie i metodologicheskie osnovy strategirovaniya sotsialʹno-ehkonomicheskogo razvitiya regiona [Theoretical and methodological foundations of strategizing the regional socio-economic development]: Dr. sci. econ. diss. Moscow: Lomonosov Moscow State University; 2020. 308 p. (In Russ.)

8. Zhuravlev DM. Managing the economic development of the subject of the Russian Federation. Moscow: PRIMEC Publishers; 2020. 183 p. (In Russ.)

9. Zhuravlev DM, Trotsenko AN, Chaadaev VK. Methodology and instruments of strategizing of socio-economic development of the region. Russian Journal of Industrial Economics. 2022;15(2):131–142. (In Russ.)

10. Astanakulov OT, Gachaev AM, Shinkaruk VM, Abalakina TV. Historical forms of development of mathematical modeling as a system for forecasting economic activity. Voprosy Istorii. 2021;(6–2):87–94. (In Russ.)

11. Kvint VL. Development of strategy: Scanning and forecasting of external and internal environments. Administrative Consulting. 2015;79(7):6–11. (In Russ.)

12. Kvint VL. Teoriya i praktika strategirovaniya [Theory and practice of strategizing]. Tashkent: Tasvir; 2018. 160 p. (In Russ.)

13. Kvint VL, Khvorostyanaya AS, Sasaev NI. Advanced technologies in strategizing. Economics and Management. 2020;26(11):1170–1179. (In Russ.)

14. Markov KK. O nekotorykh problemakh modelirovaniya slozhnykh sotsialʹno-ehkonomicheskikh sistem [Modeling complex socio-economic systems]. Modern Technologies. System Analysis. Modeling. 2006;11(7):82–95. (In Russ.)

15. Makarov V, Ayvazyan S, Afanasyev M, Bakhtizin A, Nanavyan A. Modeling the development of regional economy and an innovation space efficiency. Foresight and STI Governance. 2016;10(3):76–90. (In Russ.)

16. Nesterenko IN, Shipilova TV. Investirovanie innovatsiy v sotsialʹno-ehkonomicheskoy sisteme [Investing in socio-economic innovations]. The Humanities and Social Sciences. 2010;(2):93–98. (In Russ.)

17. Oborin MS. The role of regions with “smart specialization” in the socio-economic development of Russia. Vestnik of Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod. Series: Social Sciences. 2020;60(4):23–30. (In Russ.)

18. Davtian AG, Shabalina OA, Sadovnikova NP, Berestneva OG. Principles for modeling information flows in open socio-economic systems. Mathematical Methods in Technologies and Technics. 2021;(3):55–58. (In Russ.)

19. Rumyantseva EE. Novaya ehkonomicheskaya ehntsiklopediya [The new economic encyclopedia]. Moscow: Infra-M; 2016. 882 p. (In Russ.)

20. Sabinina AL, Izmalkova SA, Sycheva IV. Digital transformation of regional economy as a strategic potential of its development. Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice. 2019;18(6):999–1013. (In Russ.)

21. Smorodinskaya NV, Katukov DD. When and why regional clusters become basic building blocks of modern economy. Baltiiskii Region. 2019;11(3):61–91. (In Russ.)

22. Uskova TV. Transport infrastructure as a factor of territories' development and connectedness of economic space. Problems of Territory's Development. 2021;25(3):7–22. (In Russ.)

23. Chaadaev VK. “Umnoe ZhKKh” kak sokrashchenie izderzhek v upravlenii mnogokvartirnymi domami [Smart communal services as a cost reduction in the management of apartment buildings]. Ehkonomika i upravlenie narodnym khozyaystvom: genezis, sovremennoe sostoyanie i perspektivy razvitiya: Materialy II Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii [Economics and management of the national economy: genesis, current state, and prospects: Proceedings of the II International Scientific and Practical Conference]; 2018; Voronezh. Voronezh: Voronezh Institute of Economical and Legal; 2018. p. 211–215. (In Russ.)

24. Chaadaev VK. Podgotovka zadachi imitatsionnogo modelirovaniya biznes-protsessa [Preparing a business process simulation task]. Vestnik Universiteta. 2007;19(1):330–338. (In Russ.)

25. Baum CF. An introduction to modern econometrics using Stata. Stata Press; 2006. 341 p.

26. Gerrits L, Marks P. The evolution of Wright’s (1932) adaptive field to contemporary interpretations and uses of fitness landscapes in the social sciences. Biology and Philosophy. 2014;30:459–479.

27. Klachek PM, Polypan PL, Liberman IV. Development of a synergetic research environment for modeling complex productive and economic systems. St. Petersburg State Polytechnical University Journal. Economics. 2019;12(2):112–120.

28. Kvint VL. Strategy for the global market: Theory and practical applications. New York: Routledge; 2015. 548 p.

29. Nesterov RA, Savelyev SYu. Generation of Petri nets using structural property-preserving transformations. Proceedings of the Institute for System Programming of the RAS. 2021;33(3):155–170.

30. Beer A, Ayres S, Clower T, Faller F, Sancino A, Sotarauta M. Place leadership and regional economic development: a framework for cross-regional analysis. Regional Studies. 2019;53(2):171–182.

31. Samaniego RM, Sun JY. Productivity growth and structural transformation. Review of Economic Dynamics. 2016;21:266–285.

32. Zhuravlev DM, Glukhov VV. Strategizing of economic systems digital transformation: A driver on innovative development. St. Petersburg State Polytechnical University Journal. Economics. 2021;14(2):7–21.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?